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To get anticipated worth for an underdog bet, you multiply the implied win price by the quantity you get when you divide the line by 100, and then you definitely subtract the inverse of the win price. The numbers we gave you for the Rangers would make this equation .455 x (120 / 100) – .545 = .001, which is an extremely negligible value. Nonetheless, altering the win rate to 46% adjustments the equation to .46 x (one hundred twenty / 100) – .Fifty four = .012, twelve times the worth of the opposite quantity, serving to to clarify why the Kelly calculator returned a optimistic value as a consequence of such a slight change.
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